November 9, 2026 northern lights forecast: Kp 4.7 (G1) expected — in range of Vancouver, Aberdeen. See the storm details

Kp Index Today

Kp is 2.0 right now: quiet. At this level the aurora reaches 5 of our 46 cities' thresholds.

Updated

Last 24 hours and next 3 days

Kp 0–2Kp 3–4Kp 5+ Faded bars: NOAA forecast · 3-hour blocks, UTC
Block (UTC)KpLevelStatus
Nov 9 15:00 UTC2.7Unsettledestimated
Nov 9 18:00 UTC3.7Activeestimated
Nov 9 21:00 UTC4.7Minor storm (G1)estimated
Nov 10 00:00 UTC3.7Activepredicted
Nov 10 03:00 UTC3.7Activepredicted
Nov 10 06:00 UTC2.7Unsettledpredicted
Nov 10 09:00 UTC2.7Unsettledpredicted
Nov 10 12:00 UTC1.7Quietpredicted

27-day Kp forecast

Kp 1–2 quiet Kp 3–4 active Kp 5+ storm

NOAA 27-day outlook (daily maximum Kp), issued Nov 9. It repeats the Sun's 27-day rotation, so it flags recurring active days but cannot see new eruptions.

What Kp do I need?

The Kp at which the aurora reaches each city's horizon for the naked eye.

CityKp neededNow
Nuuk Greenland 1.0 reached
Yellowknife Northwest Territories 1.0 reached
Tromsø Norway 1.0 reached
Fairbanks Alaska 1.6 reached
Reykjavik Iceland 1.9 reached
Rovaniemi Lapland 2.1 0.1 short
Whitehorse Yukon 2.2 0.2 short
Juneau Alaska 3.0 1.0 short
Anchorage Alaska 3.0 1.0 short
Edmonton Alberta 3.2 1.2 short
Saskatoon Saskatchewan 3.3 1.3 short
Winnipeg Manitoba 3.6 1.6 short
Regina Saskatchewan 3.6 1.6 short
Calgary Alberta 3.8 1.8 short
Oslo Norway 4.0 2.0 short
Kelowna British Columbia 4.3 2.3 short
Inverness Scotland 4.5 2.5 short
Aberdeen Scotland 4.6 2.6 short
Vancouver British Columbia 4.7 2.7 short
Hobart Tasmania 4.8 2.8 short
Ottawa Ontario 4.8 2.8 short
Spokane Washington 4.8 2.8 short
Montreal Quebec 4.9 2.9 short
Seattle Washington 5.0 3.0 short
Edinburgh Scotland 5.0 3.0 short
Glasgow Scotland 5.0 3.0 short
Toronto Ontario 5.1 3.1 short
Milwaukee Wisconsin 5.1 3.1 short
Bangor Maine 5.2 3.2 short
Launceston Tasmania 5.2 3.2 short
Belfast Northern Ireland 5.3 3.3 short
Detroit Michigan 5.3 3.3 short
Chicago Illinois 5.4 3.4 short
Portland Oregon 5.5 3.5 short
Cleveland Ohio 5.5 3.5 short
Boise Idaho 5.6 3.6 short
Columbus Ohio 5.8 3.8 short
New York New York 5.9 3.9 short
Melbourne Victoria 6.0 4.0 short
Denver Colorado 6.1 4.1 short
London England 6.2 4.2 short
Adelaide South Australia 6.6 4.6 short
Sydney New South Wales 7.1 5.1 short
Perth Western Australia 7.1 5.1 short
Los Angeles California 7.9 5.9 short
Brisbane Queensland 8.8 6.8 short

Kp explained

Kp runs from 0 to 9 in thirds (5-, 5, 5+). Each step roughly moves the southern edge of the aurora oval two to three degrees of geomagnetic latitude toward the equator. That is why the same night can be routine in Fairbanks and a once-a-year event in Chicago.

Kp is a three-hour average, so it lags what you see. Short bursts (substorms) can light up the sky for 20 minutes while the official Kp stays modest. For the next hour, the solar wind's Bz and the live aurora map say more; for tonight and the next three days, Kp is the best single number.

Your threshold depends on geomagnetic latitude, not geographic latitude: the magnetic pole sits over northern Canada, so North America gets the aurora further south than Europe at the same Kp. How the site sets each city's threshold is on the methodology page.

Kp index FAQ

What is the Kp index?
Kp measures how disturbed Earth's magnetic field is over a three-hour block, on a scale from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm). It is built from magnetometers around the world. Higher Kp pushes the aurora oval toward the equator, so more places see it.
What Kp do I need to see the aurora?
It depends on your geomagnetic latitude. Fairbanks, Yellowknife or Tromsø see aurora at Kp 1–2; Calgary, Edmonton and Oslo at about Kp 3–4; Seattle, Toronto and Edinburgh at about Kp 5; New York and London need about Kp 6; Los Angeles and Brisbane need Kp 8–9. The table above lists every city on the site.
What does Kp 5 mean?
Kp 5 is a G1 (minor) geomagnetic storm on NOAA's scale. It brings the aurora to the northern US border states, the Great Lakes, Scotland, southern Scandinavia and Tasmania on a clear dark night. Kp 6 is G2, Kp 7 G3, Kp 8 G4 and Kp 9 G5.
Why is the "kp index" different on other sites?
There are several Kp products: NOAA's estimated Kp in near real time, GFZ Potsdam's definitive Kp published later, and forecast Kp. Real-time values can be revised. This page shows NOAA's observed and forecast blocks; the yearly statistics on city pages use GFZ Potsdam's definitive record.

Get an alert when Kp reaches your city

The app knows your threshold and watches the forecast for you.

Learn more about the northern lights